Saturday, October 4, 2014

Isn't it a bit early for silly season?

I woke up today and browsed Twitter to find the latest news on Japanese GP FP3 and Q sessions. What greeted me instead was the news of Sebastian Vettel leaving Red Bull at the end of the season. It hasn't officially been announced, but reportedly RBR's Team Principal Christian Horner let it slip that Vettel is joining Ferrari for the 2015 F1 season.


Even though it's technically unconfirmed, this would mean that either Fernando Alonso or Kimi Raikkonen is in turn leaving Ferrari. The former has been rumored to jump ship to McLaren for a few weeks now. Today, people are taking that rumor as a confirmed news item. Not saying that I'm not excited for the (possible) Raikkonen–Vettel partnership, it's just a shame that we never got to see a fully competitive Alonso–Rakkonen team. I don't quite know how Alonso leaving would work out for Ferrari since this season has proven that he's faster than his teammate. It could be because Alonso is more comfortable in the Ferrari, and that he helped develop the car, but we're almost at the end of the season and we haven't seen Kimi challenging Alonso at all. Alonso basically carries the team, like he has done the last few seasons. Ferrari needs a better car, a better engine, and hopefully we see that next season.

With Alonso (potentially) moving to McLaren, it seems likely that he will take Jenson Button's seat as the team's #1 driver. Button's teammate Kevin Magnussen is the rookie with potential, who is doing very well in his first season, including a podium finish in his first ever race. It makes sense for McLaren to keep Magnussen instead of Button. Unfortunately, this could mean the end of Button's F1 career, but I really hope it isn't. There's no logical team for him to move on to; there are only a few spots for so many racers, most of whom are young hopefuls.


On the Red Bull side of things, the seat left by Vettel will be filled by Daniil Kvyat currently of Toro Rosso. Kvyat's pairing with Daniel Ricciardo gives RBR quite a young (inexperienced?) team. 2015 will be Kvyat's second season in F1. However, if Kvyat comes in as Ricciardo did this season, RBR would be just fine. Ricciardo has surprised a lot of people, including myself, in how well he's doing, especially compared to teammate Vettel.

Now where does this leave Kvyat's current teammate Jean-Eric Vergne? He's just been leapfrogged by his rookie teammate to the RBR seat. Recently, Toro Rosso announced that they're giving Max Verstappen a seat in 2015, to make him the youngest ever F1 driver. It might make sense for Toro Rosso to now keep JEV to help Verstappen. On the other hand, it sucks for him if he's going to be continually leapfrogged by his younger teammates. Would it be too risky for Toro Rosso to have two rookies fill their seats?

And here I thought last season we saw huge changes in F1. It's got nothing on next season and we're only in October!